ESPN FPI Predicts A Slow Start For Ragin Cajun Football, But A Strong Finish
Will Louisiana Ragin' Cajun football surpass their win total from last year of 7?
ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) algorithm predicts a 7-5 Cajuns record for 2019 based on a percentage win probability of each game.
FPI calculates a team's true strength based on a net points scale that calculates returning players, expected point margin versus average opponent on neutral field, strength of schedule and several other factors.
It has Louisiana favored in 7 of 12 games, including their final 5. Based on win probability, the FPI predicts a 2-5 start, before a strong finish of 5 consecutive victories.
August 31, vs Mississippi State (Mercedes Benz Superdome), 6.0% win probability
September 7, vs Liberty, 72.3%
September 14, vs Texas Southern, 99.2%
September 21, at Ohio, 32.4%
September 28, at Georgia Southern, 23.3%
October 9, vs Appalachian State, 34.9%
October 17, at Arkansas State, 31.7%
November 2, vs Texas State, 71.3%
November 7, at Coastal Carolina, 56.1%
November 16, at South Alabama, 79.1%
November 23, vs Troy, 53.1%
November 30, vs ULM, 59.5%
It's worth noting, the FPI changes each week once the season begins, but the preseason is a prefect time for predictions.
What do you think? Does Louisiana surpass 7? Match it? Take a step back?
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