Tropical Update – Humberto Strengthens, Gabrielle Coming Back & Trouble For The Gulf?

We are basically at the climatological peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season. What that means is today and tomorrow are historically the most active time of year when it comes to tropical storms.

This year we have seen 8 named systems. None of those systems have reached hurricane strength. That will most likely change within the next 48 hours. Tropical Storm Humberto off the coast of Africa is expected to gain the distinction of the season's first hurricane. The good news is that Humberto according to the latest models should stay well out the sea and cause no problems for any land area.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Gabrielle have also shown signs of organizing again.In fact the National Hurricane Center has reclassified Gabrielle as a tropical storm.  The system is currently in the Atlantic south of Bermuda. The good news is that Gabrielle, part II should pose no threat to any land mass either.

Many tropical forecast models are indicating the possible development of a tropical cyclone in the southwest Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. The Hurricane Center is watching an area of thunderstorms located just east of the Yucatan Peninsula and right now the probability of tropical formation is listed at only 10%. That number is expected to go higher as the system cross the land mass of the Yucatan and emerges into the warm waters of the Bay of Campeche. The good news for coastal residents of the United States the forecast models suggest the system will continue a westerly track that would take the system into the Mexican coast.